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5/09/2018

The Iran "Deal" basics


It becomes really easy to understand the basics of the "Iran Deal" if you just look at the, well, basics.

The first basic you need to look at is the word "deal". Now the word deal is not the same as the word "treaty." There is a very simple reason for this, the "deal" is not a "treaty." And here is another basic fact that is ignored, everyone knows the "deal" is not a "treaty."

So as Eric Erickson pointed out:
It also must be pointed out that our allies as well as our enemies  who supposedly won't trust "America's promises" due to Trump pulling out were and are fully aware of this. They did not go into this blind to the fact that Obama was doing this on his own.

Hell even Chuck Schumer was opposed to this non-treaty "deal". Well until Trump ended what everyone, even those allies claim is a "bad deal".

 The talking point now is that getting out of the deal means that Iran can get a nuke quicker now. Before I totally shred this stupid argument  to pieces let me just quote Bret Stephens:
Trump's bold decision should put Iran to a fundamental choice: It can have an economy, or it can have nuclear ambitions. But not both.
This is a choice that Obama gave them. The sanctions were crippling the Iran regime before the deal and Obama basically thru them a life line.

The uprising earlier this year has not stopped. There are still constant demonstrations against the regime, which truth be told, is on the brink.  Trump's move may in fact topple the mullahs.

 But the real simple basic is even simpler to grasp. Which allies are objecting to cancelling the "deal"? The ones that are party to the deal plus China and Russia, not exactly allies.

If Iran were to get a nuclear bomb, what are the chances they would use it against Germany, United Kingdom or France? Not very probable and China and Russia are not even in that picture.

Maybe they go crazy and go after the United States, doubtful but possible, if they are suicidal.

But and this is the most basic but of all, who is Iran most likely to use their bomb on?

Israel

“Israel fully supports President Trump’s bold decision today to reject the disastrous nuclear deal with the terrorist regime in Tehran,” Netanyahu said in a live English-language televised statement from his office, moments after Trump’s announcement.

Yes well that's Israel why care what they think.

How about Saudi Arabia and Iran's Arab neighbors?

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain swiftly backed U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to reimpose sanctions on Tehran, reflecting their concern about Iran's ballistic missile programme and support for militant groups.

If Israel and Iran's foes in the region are opposed to the "deal" and are rejoicing at its demise, how much credibility can you give to the "deal" in the firs place? After all the idea was to stop Iran from threatening the "world" with nuclear weapons.

But one of the basic truths of the "deal" is that those nations who are most threatened by the Iranians are and always have been opposed to the "Deal."

As prominent Suadi journalist Faisal Abbas pointed out:
"Paris and London may not like Trump’s decision, but how would the French or British feel if their capital cities came under direct threat by the Iranians?"

So our allies who truly have something to fear from a nuclear Iran are rejoicing, while our allies who have little to fear but lots of money to make doing business with Iran fret. We won't even discuss China and Russia here.

Oh another basic I forgot. Iran's closest ally? Russia. So Trump continues to be #worstrussianspyever.

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