Points to Ponder

If in fact the race is essentially tied in the national polls as both Rasmussen and Gallup say it is, actually Romney is up one point in both, how can Obama be winning in so many "swing" states?

Think about it, we know that Obama is ahead, probably way ahead in three very large states, California, New York and Illinois, that is a lot of votes. For Romney to be tied or slightly ahead nationally he has to make up the deficits in those and other heavily blue states somewhere, where is he doing it?

Only one large population state is firmly "red", Texas, and not so overwhelmingly so as California and New York are "blue". So where are all these Romney voters coming from? If he is behind in most of the swing states as the polls are showing, then he has to make up those deficits as well in order to be doing so well nationally, again where?

The states where Romney is way ahead, Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Oklahoma don't even come close in population size to even second tier "blue" states like Massachusetts, Maryland and Washington.  So either the election must be much closer in all the states than the state polls reflect or the swing state polls must be way off.

My guess is that it is a combination of the two, Obama is not doing as well in the "blue" states as expected and that the "swing" state polls are not accurately reflecting Romney's strength.

Let us hope it is more of the latter than the former, but either way we will know soon...maybe.