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Showing posts with label media bias. Show all posts
Showing posts with label media bias. Show all posts

7/30/2020

AS SEEN ON TWITTER 7/30/2020


7/22/2020

AS SEEN ON TWITTER 7/22/2020







7/07/2020

DE-HYPEING THE SURGE


The surest sign that all the hype around the surge in Covid-19 cases is, well just hype, is this. In mid June, IHME, the government's favorite model, put out their "forecast" of the future of Covid-19 in the US as they have done periodically since the beginning of the "crisis." The screenshot below is from June 22nd. When this particular forecast was done, the "surge" in cases was well under way and the fear mongering was beginning to ramp up. Here is their projections for deaths ending on October 1st.

In June they were projecting deaths of 201,129 by October 1st. Nothing has changed with the trajectory of cases, they have continued to rise. In fact they have risen even faster than anyone expected, primarily driven by a tremendous amount of testing. Based on this increase in cases, one would expect deaths to increase, given the hype around the "surge crisis"  common sense would seem to say that these "spikes"  would be reflected in future projections of deaths. Here is a screen shot taken on July 5th of IHME's next forecast for deaths in the US.
 
As you can see, the new projection has dropped 26,000 deaths from their previous forecast. Why? Simple really, despite the "surge" in cases, deaths are not keeping up with their modeled forecast. By the way every time the virus does not follow their projections, they change the format, adding something to keep people captive, this time it is masks. Since ventilators and ICU beds are no longer viable to promote their fear porn they just add masks as the new scary thingy for all of us to obsess over.
For those people out there just waiting for all these cases to suddenly turn into deaths, as they did in New York in March and April I would make two points. According to New York City's own Health Department records, the city's peak in deaths was the day before their peak in cases. This simple fact indicates that deaths decreased, not increased when cases were at their highest. Two weeks after the most cases ever recorded on a single day in NYC there were 290 LESS deaths than at their peak.
You get a sense of that little inconvenient truth from this graph. This is for the entire nation. Courtesy Phil Kerpen
@kerpen

If the number of cases was the only indicator of future deaths, what has happened since April 12th? It is all well and good to say that Florida is having thousands of new cases a day, so why haven't deaths kept up with them? Even with a built in lag time. For the first two months of the pandemic, deaths and cases rose almost together, but beginning in April they began to diverge from each other, and now drastically so.
One of the things, among many, that was learned in the first couple of months, was that in fatal cases, the average time from onset to death was about twenty days. But even given that twenty day lead time, like New York,  deaths are not keeping up with cases. Here is what it looks like graphically with the lead time.
The decline in deaths relative to cases is only slightly less dramatic given a three week differential. The last data point on the above chart is just a week ago and I can assure you, deaths are still dropping. In fact,  deaths are now so low that Covid-19 may soon no longer qualify, by CDC guidelines, as an epidemic in the United States.
There are reasons for this dramatic difference between cases and deaths, but it is not in the media narrative to investigate, explain, or report on them. But the numbers are the numbers and the numbers of deaths should continue to fall, to the chagrin of the merchants of fear.

6/30/2020

AS SEEN ON TWITTER

6/15/2020

AS SEEN ON TWITTER

8/13/2018

The media's real enemy? Themselves

The media's real enemy? Themselves

With the most recent grandstanding by Jim Acosta at a White House briefing, the issue of fake news and those who push it being enemies of the people came to the forefront of the conversation again. Acosta, the liberal-activist-posing-as-objective-journalist wrapped in sanctimonious hypocrisy, demanded that Sarah Sanders say the press is the not the enemy of the people.

8/05/2018

The Short Lease

Chaos

One of the most puzzling things about the Trump presidency is the inability of the liberal establishment to make public opinion headway against him despite his attack on everything they held sacred. Though several explanations can be advanced perhaps the most plausible is that the establish...

8/03/2018

How Spygate Is Turning Democrats Like Me Against Our Party

How Spygate Is Turning Democrats Like Me Against Our Party

One story of the last two years is how this most alpha of alpha males has become an underdog of sorts in American politics today. Of course, you won't find this narrative in any of the mainstream media outlets.This narrative merely exists in the minds of millions of voters who are outside the core Democratic base: those of us who are Republicans, moderates, independents, former Democrats like myself.

7/26/2018

What we (the media) have learned since Trump’s election

What we (the media) have learned since Trump's election

The following is a news analysis Eighteen tumultuous months into the Trump presidency, there's one thing we've learned about the media.

7/21/2018

Trump's Europe tour wasn't what the media said it was

Trump's Europe tour wasn't what the media said it was

It would be nice to say you can think what you want about President Trump's trip to Europe over the last week, but the national media is doing its damnedest to make sure you don't by misrepresenting over and over again what exactly happened.

7/01/2018

The First Amendment Is Not the ‘Be Nice to Journalists Act of 1791’

The First Amendment Is Not the 'Be Nice to Journalists Act of 1791' | National Review

Describing Trump as uniquely antagonistic to the First Amendment among presidents is preposterous. Members of the Fourth Estate, especially the TV reporters, have a curious view of the First Amendment.

5/05/2018

The Media Is Killing the Democratic Party

The Media Is Killing the Democratic Party

Ever since April 30, when the New York Times published a list of topics that special counsel Robert Mueller would like to ask President Trump about, cable news and the political press have focused exclusively on the two major legal matters in which the president is entangled.

5/04/2018

The Definitive List Of Media Screw-Ups On The Trump-Russia Story

The Definitive List Of Media Screwups In The Trump-Russia Timeline

The major correction issued by NBC Thursday on a story about wiretaps and Michael Cohen was just another reminder of the many media mistakes on the Russian collusion story.

4/29/2018

The New York Times’ Hatchet Job On Devin Nunes Is Riddled With Errors

The New York Times' Hatchet Job On Devin Nunes Is Riddled With Errors

Jason Zengerle publicly announced his profile of Rep. Devin Nunes, R-Calif., in today's New York Times Sunday Magazine with the snarky tweet, "My latest for the @NYTmag on Devin Nunes, who's been propagating, not to mention falling for, conspiracy theories since before the Deep State was even in a gleam in Donald Trump's eye."

4/08/2018

Where Was Teddy?

Where Was Teddy? | National Review

Editor's Note: The following first appeared in the November 7, 1988 issue of National Review . It is too early to break out the champagne, but have you noticed how many books of welcome tendency have been on the best-seller list lately?

3/29/2018

As Seen On Twitter



3/24/2018

Actors at Casting Call Are Surprised by Real Gun Facts They're Asked to Read

Actors at Casting Call Are Surprised by Real Gun Facts They're Asked to Read

Here is what happens when people on both sides of the gun conversation in America are able to be heard. The producers of this video had a variety of actors cold read statistical truths about guns and crime in the United States. Much of this is known to pro-Second Amendment advocates but not to th...

3/11/2018

What If Newspapers Reported the Real News about Human Progress?

What If Newspapers Reported the Real News about Human Progress?

In his new book Enlightenment Now and in his McLaughlin Lecture at the Cato Institute this week, Steven Pinker made the point that we may fail to appreciate how much progress the world has made because the news is usually about bad and unusual things.